§ Herald - Lantern • Dispatch 12 June '85

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f Next Hurricane May be Killer

WASHINGTON - Hurricane season opened its annual six-month run June 1 and the question is whether 1985 will make the fourth year in a row that a devastating storm will smash in"to the nation's coastline It is impossible to predict what the summer holds in store, but the oft-repeated warnings remain as viable as ever, veteran hurricane watchers agree None will dispute the probability that the U.S. is overdue for a severe hurricane. lll'RRICANES HIT the Hawaiian Islands in 1982 1 Iwa ». Texas in 1983 1 Alicia 1 and North Carolina (Diana) in 1984. The storms killed 16 and required federal disas-

ter recovery expenditures in excess of $286 million. Dozens of hurricanes have slammed into the Gulf and Atlantic coastlines since 1900. Sixteen of the worst of them killed more than 10,000 people caused damages estimated at more than $10 billion. One hurricane with Force Five winds of 155 miles an hour or higher pounding ashore in a highly developed. heavily populated but unprepared area could match all the storms of the century in terms of lives lost and property destroyed, federal disaster preparedness experts fear. THE LURE OF "the good life" in a condominium near

the beach has drawn millions of Americans into a hurricane trap that could kill them. Few realize the hazard they may face and fewer are prepared, according to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). Louis O. Giuffrida, director of FEMA. estimates that 80 percent of the 40 million people now living along the coastline from Texas to Maine have never experienced a major hurricane. "I fear we are going to pay the price one of these days in the form of hundreds if not thousands of lives lost unless people respect the awesome power of hurricanes, the greatest storms on earth," Giuffrida said. "The potential for castrophe increases every year as thousands of people move into hurricane-prone areas." APATHY TOWARD the dangers of hurricane shows itself often as hurricanes threaten. Giuffrida said. A study in the wake of Hur ricane Alicia's passage across Texas' Galveston Island in 1983 revealed that almost 40 percent of the island's residents ignored warnings and stayeato ride out the stopn. Alicia killed 1 1 people and injured many more. ^ Despite what Alicia did. millions of dollars worth of a new condominiums now stand hard against the island's beach ready to provide a carefree life in the sun and surf to anybody with the necessary money. While Alicia was bad enough, the death toll was small compared with the other hurricanes that have come ashore this century. Galveston Island was hit 1900 and 6,000 died ; Camille killed 256 in 1969 as she ripped through Mississippi. Louisiana. Alabama. Virginia and West Virginia THERE IS LITTLE that can be done to protect most property in the path of a Force Five hurricane, but thousands of people have purchased special insurance protection against winddriven storm surge and flooding which usually accompanies these storms In Florida, for instance, there are more than 475.000 flood insurance policies worth almost $35 billion. Thousands of residents of other coastal states also have flood insurance coverage. but Jeffrey Bragg, head of FEMA's Federal Insurance Administration.

says only one in eight properties located in high flood I risks asks is covered. This, even though the policies are ! available through local agents or brokers in more than 17,000 U.S. communities. THE VALUE of such coverage is shown by North Carolina flood losses when Hurricane Diana came ashore. While wind damage was relatively light when compared with the likes of Hurricane Camille or Hurricane Frederick, flood insurance claims alone totaled more than $2.5 million. FEMA, in cooperation with the National Weather Service, is developing ways to help state and local emergency planners develop better protection against the hurricane threat. This month the agencies agreed to jointly fund a $420,000 computer model of what to expect if a hurricane struck at key points along the Maryland-Virginia-Dela-ware coastline. The study is one of 22 underway or completed on high-risk, high population areas along most of the nation's coastline* ONE OF THE problems in dealing with hurricanes is trying to predict if and where they may strike once they have formed offshore Experienced trackers tell story after story about hurricanes that abruptly change course, stop dead, or simple die away without providing any hint of their intentions. Despite improvements in forecasting techniques over the years, meterologists rarely can give more than 12 hours notice that a hurricane will strike a particular coastal point. Basea upon these concerns, FEMA officials offered safety tips for those millions who may one day face a hurricane The rules center around preparedness and what to do when a hurricane approaches REUHECK YOUR supply of tools, batteries, non-pe rishable foods and other equipment you may need. When you hear the first tropical storm advisory, listen for future messages. This will allow you time to prepare in advance for possible issuance of a hurricane watch or warning. While your area is under a hurricane watch, continue normal activities, but stay tuned to radio or television for all National Weather Services Advisories.

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